The Behavior of the Pandemic in the Mayors. How the Mayors Contribute to the Development of COVID-19 in Mexico City
Abstract
This paper discuss the extent to which municipalities (alcaldías) in Mexico City contributed to the magnitude of the COVID-19 health emergency. To do so, we use the language of the communications to citizens to explain the behavior of the pandemic and the mobility of citizens across municipalities. We use the prevalence of confirmed cases to conjecture about active cases, particularly concerning the time until flattening the curve. The main objective is to show the behavior of the pandemic by visualizing the evolution that the pandemic (as a health phenomenon) had throughout the year. We use three important dates to show how likely (or not) citizens were to follow stay-at-home restrictions. We also discuss which municipalities' trends are likely to explain the city's trends. The main goal of this project is to help understand and explain the pandemic as a phenomenon as unexpected as it was and which may have no short or medium-run solution.
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References
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